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Strategy Learning Hub

Strategy #0000000154 · Event-driven and special situations

Ex-dividend capture scenario
Enter dividend per share, expected ex-date drop, shares, effective tax rate and costs.

A share price typically adjusts around the ex-date because the near-term dividend entitlement separates from the share. The realised drop also reflects market returns, investor tax clientele, dividend size and timing. Dividend capture compares after-tax cash received with the price move; it is not free income. This estimates one user-defined holding window, not a market-specific ex-date regularity.

Beginner-friendlyAbout 8 minutesEvidence and practical analysis

Three ways in

Understand the story. Then inspect the risk.

Start with a familiar situation, check the payoff, then test how the numbers change.

The idea · in two minutes

What remains after tax, the assumed ex-date price move, execution and holding costs?

A share price typically adjusts around the ex-date because the near-term dividend entitlement separates from the share. The realised drop also reflects market returns, investor tax clientele, dividend size and timing. Dividend capture compares after-tax cash received with the price move; it is not free income. This estimates one user-defined holding window, not a market-specific ex-date regularity.

Enter dividend per share, expected ex-date drop, shares, effective tax rate and costs.

No share-price or ex-date history, shareholder tax clientele, withholding tax or market-return data are loaded.

  • Entered assumptionsEnter dividend per share, expected ex-date drop, shares, effective tax rate and costs.
  • Model outputNo share-price or ex-date history, shareholder tax clientele, withholding tax or market-return data are loaded.

Illustrative research examples only. They are not live signals or a recommendation.

Variants · same family, different risk levers

Models, tax rules, contracts and implementation can change results.

Compare relevant mechanisms and execution assumptions.

Related strategyRelationshipWhat changesNew cost or risk
Base scenarioManual inputsA share price typically adjusts around the ex-date because the near-term dividend entitlement separates from the share. The realised drop also reflects market returns, investor tax clientele, dividend size and timing. Dividend capture compares after-tax cash received with the price move; it is not free income. This estimates one user-defined holding window, not a market-specific ex-date regularity.No share-price or ex-date history, shareholder tax clientele, withholding tax or market-return data are loaded.
Conservative versionStress assumptionsRaise costs and reduce eligible/executable amounts to stress the result.Scenario benefit may shrink.
Validation versionData reviewCheck inputs against consistent quotes, settlement rules and personal eligibility.Needs representative data and professional review.

No share-price or ex-date history, shareholder tax clientele, withholding tax or market-return data are loaded.

Read beyond the summary

References

Primary sources and research used to describe the strategy and its limits.

  1. 01Lakonishok & Vermaelen (1986), Tax-induced trading around ex-dividend daysresearch