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Strategy #0000000147 · Calendar and seasonality

FX benchmark-fix drift and reversal
Choose pre-fix follow or post-fix fade, then enter direction, move size, notional and costs.

FX benchmark fixes such as WM/Reuters aggregate client trades at set times. Net demand may affect exchange rates before the fix, with a partial reversal afterward. The window, client flows, London calendar, time zones and market conditions matter; historical findings should not be treated as a current profit signal. This scenario takes manually entered direction, drift and reversal sizes.

Beginner-friendlyAbout 8 minutesEvidence and practical analysis

Three ways in

Understand the story. Then inspect the risk.

Start with a familiar situation, check the payoff, then test how the numbers change.

The idea · in two minutes

What remains after costs from following pre-fix demand drift or fading the post-fix move?

FX benchmark fixes such as WM/Reuters aggregate client trades at set times. Net demand may affect exchange rates before the fix, with a partial reversal afterward. The window, client flows, London calendar, time zones and market conditions matter; historical findings should not be treated as a current profit signal. This scenario takes manually entered direction, drift and reversal sizes.

Choose pre-fix follow or post-fix fade, then enter direction, move size, notional and costs.

No live client flows, fix rates, trading windows or execution data are loaded.

  • Input assumptionsChoose pre-fix follow or post-fix fade, then enter direction, move size, notional and costs.
  • Model outputNo live client flows, fix rates, trading windows or execution data are loaded.

Illustrative research examples only. They are not live signals or a recommendation.

Variants · same family, different risk levers

Models, contract terms and implementation can change results.

Compare relevant mechanisms and execution assumptions.

Related strategyRelationshipWhat changesNew cost or risk
Base scenarioManual inputsFX benchmark fixes such as WM/Reuters aggregate client trades at set times. Net demand may affect exchange rates before the fix, with a partial reversal afterward. The window, client flows, London calendar, time zones and market conditions matter; historical findings should not be treated as a current profit signal. This scenario takes manually entered direction, drift and reversal sizes.No live client flows, fix rates, trading windows or execution data are loaded.
Conservative versionHigher cost/lossStress higher costs, larger losses or lower liquidity.May lower scenario returns.
Validation versionData reviewTest model inputs with consistent contracts and timestamps.Needs licensed, representative data.

No live client flows, fix rates, trading windows or execution data are loaded.

Read beyond the summary

References

Primary sources and research used to describe the strategy and its limits.

  1. 01Evans (2018), Forex Trading and the WMR Fixresearch