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Strategy #0000000121 · Risk management and exit controls

Stop-loss, take-profit and exit rules
Enter entry price, stop/take-profit percentages, maximum holding period and a period-by-period price path.

Exit rules change return paths and payoff distributions. Stops may reduce downside in momentum regimes, but can add costs under random-walk behaviour; trailing stops, take-profits, time exits and re-entry rules have different trade-offs. A triggered stop is not guaranteed to fill at its trigger price; gaps and slippage can increase losses. This tool finds the first exit condition in a supplied path.

Beginner-friendlyAbout 8 minutesEvidence and practical analysis

Three ways in

Understand the story. Then inspect the risk.

Start with a familiar situation, check the payoff, then test how the numbers change.

The idea · in two minutes

Does a supplied price path first hit a stop, take-profit or time limit?

Exit rules change return paths and payoff distributions. Stops may reduce downside in momentum regimes, but can add costs under random-walk behaviour; trailing stops, take-profits, time exits and re-entry rules have different trade-offs. A triggered stop is not guaranteed to fill at its trigger price; gaps and slippage can increase losses. This tool finds the first exit condition in a supplied path.

Enter entry price, stop/take-profit percentages, maximum holding period and a period-by-period price path.

Not a backtest or guaranteed fill; short positions, trailing ATR, re-entry and slippage are not modelled.

  • Input assumptionsEnter entry price, stop/take-profit percentages, maximum holding period and a period-by-period price path.
  • Model outputNot a backtest or guaranteed fill; short positions, trailing ATR, re-entry and slippage are not modelled.

Illustrative research examples only. They are not live signals or a recommendation.

Variants · same family, different risk levers

Data quality, constraints and implementation costs affect results.

Compare modelling and execution assumptions.

Related strategyRelationshipWhat changesNew cost or risk
Base scenarioManual inputsExit rules change return paths and payoff distributions. Stops may reduce downside in momentum regimes, but can add costs under random-walk behaviour; trailing stops, take-profits, time exits and re-entry rules have different trade-offs. A triggered stop is not guaranteed to fill at its trigger price; gaps and slippage can increase losses. This tool finds the first exit condition in a supplied path.Not a backtest or guaranteed fill; short positions, trailing ATR, re-entry and slippage are not modelled.
Conservative versionLower exposureRaise cost/risk assumptions and constrain positions.May reduce participation.
Validation versionOut-of-sample testFreeze the method before evaluation on untouched data.Needs more clean data.

Not a backtest or guaranteed fill; short positions, trailing ATR, re-entry and slippage are not modelled.

Read beyond the summary

References

Primary sources and research used to describe the strategy and its limits.

  1. 01Kaminski & Lo (2014), When Do Stop-Loss Rules Stop Losses?research